Take a look at the simulation #PeaceGame run by the US Institute for Peace and Foreign Policy magazine. The camerawork isn’t so great but the concept is interesting–sort of like a group discussion on a critical issue–but without (too many) dilatory motions:
From where does the first spark of what becomes violent extremism come? Is it poverty and lack of economic opportunity, or the twisting of religious doctrine to meet less than holy ends, or simmering frustration with political corruption and disenfranchisement?
… we’re asking some of the best minds we could find what the international community might do to about the economic and political drivers stoking the fire of Boko Haram, the militant Islamist group that has found infamy for its campaign of brutal murder, kidnapping, and intimidation in Nigeria.
So how does this work? We’ve assigned our assembled experts roles to play, from international organizations, to local leaders, to Boko Haram itself, and told them to fight it out in search of the best possible solution, based on their self-interests in two scenarios. Then they’ll break character and talk about what happened and why.
via Watch Live: Foreign Policy and USIP’s PeaceGame |.
Aaron David Miller explains five “fictions we have to stop telling ourselves” to keep in mind when we analyze why we are in Syria/Iraq, how we can be effective, and more importantly, what is really possible.
We’re clearly not yet on the verge of plunging into another pointless Americanasaurus charge much like the 2003 invasion of Iraq.
But last night’s airstrikes in Syria do represent an important escalation and expansion of the war against the Islamic State (IS) and other jihadist forces. And it’s imperative that we bring additional clarity to the problem of coordinating ends and means, and defining what our goals are, to avoid such an eventuality. Mission creep usually results from a certain amount of hysteria, a lack of clarity or confusion in goals, and, most complicating, a miscalculation of the means at our disposal with which to achieve those goals.
via Americanasaurus and the March to War in Syria.
In this discussion, “Foggy Bottom and the Fog of War” several observers explore what is gained or lost when the secretary of defense takes a back seat to the secretary of state in pursuing military interventions.
- Should we follow Samantha Power’s lead and “weaponize human rights?”
- Do career incentives for the use of force skew Washington policy for the worse?
- Did Presidential dysfunction, resulting in the marginalization of Sec State Colin Powell undermine the Powell Doctrine–limiting the use of force except for in extraordinary circumstances–as Christopher O’Sullivan notes?
- Is the State Department as an institution incapable of designing, owning, and implementing strategic? Should we have a stronger, better developed diplomatic core, as Kori Schake suggests?
- Do you agree that Vietnam is the “anti-diplomacy” example, where DOD tried (and failed) to be diplomats, under Robert S. McNamara’s leadership. (This notion is illustrated in the brilliant doc, The Fog of War.)
- via Diplomats Have Been Dropping Their Pens and Waving Guns – Room for Debate – NYTimes.com.
A new look at Eisenhower highlights a key negotiation skill–the bluff.
As he explains it: “His ability to save the world from nuclear Armageddon entirely depended on his ability to convince America’s enemies — and his own followers — that he was willing to use nuclear weapons. This was a bluff of epic proportions.”
via Evan Thomas’s ‘Ike’s Bluff’ Looks at Eisenhower – NYTimes.com.
Time to recognize a real American hero who stood up to both Kim Jong Il as well as John Bolton (in departmental in-fighting).
The Korean Economic Institute will bid farewell to former Ambassador Jack Pritchard, a distinguished former U.S. diplomat who worked in both the Clinton and George W. Bush administrations and understands the Koreas. He served as the deputy chief negotiator for the Four party Peace Talks and is a former U.S. Army officer.
He offered 13 leadership principles, modeled on Colin Powell’s idea that you need to keep your core principles at hand in the hard work of training leaders:
- Articulate your vision;
- Commit to the personal and professional development of all subordinates;
- Loyalty is a two-way proposition: you can’t expect it if you don’t show it;
- Value character above skill; you can teach skill, you cannot teach character;
- Emphasize and encourage Team Work: the organization is not better served by the best qualified people who do not work well together;
- Push creativity over business as usual;
- Give responsibility, but require accountability;
- Publicly praise good performance; downplay reflected praise;
- Encourage use of an Open Door policy: turn full attention to any subordinate when they come in – announced or unannounced – if at all possible. They are your number one priority at that moment;
- Lead by example: take physical ownership of office facilities – water the plants, clean the carpet, arrange the furniture. Knowing your attention to detail inspires ownership in others;
- Be on time to meetings: respect others’ time;
- Seek to rehabilitate sub-standard performers in a positive way before seeking remedies with negative consequences.
via A Farewell Message from KEI President Jack Pritchard | The Peninsula.
In a “very, very difficult” prisoner swap deal between Hamas and Israel that sidelines Mahmoud Abbas, the relative value of each countries’ citizens is revealed. If you are an Israeli, more than 1,000 Palestinians can equal your freedom–at least in this agreement. What are the factors and context for this deal? How does it compare to past trades?
Many aspects of the agreement were not revealed, including the names of important Palestinian prisoners expected to be released. But Israeli journalists said after an intelligence briefing that Marwan Barghouti, a top leader of the Fatah group sentenced to five life terms and seen as a possible successor to Mr. Abbas, would not be freed. Mr. Meshal said that the total would be 1,027, among them 315 prisoners serving life sentences and 27 women.
via Israel Reaches Deal With Hamas to Free Gilad Shalit – NYTimes.com.