Brexit Commentary from Brown University Experts

Insights on Brexit from J. Brian Atwood, Keith Brown, Jeff Colgan, Sue Eckert, Timothy Edgar, Alexander Gourevitch, Michael Kennedy, Stephen Kinder, Patsy Lewis, Dietrich Rueschemeyer, Jazira F-Y Zamindar, and J. Nicholas Zeigler.

A Fatal Blow

Brexit promises to shatter the post-war order in Europe, to remove the British as intermediaries between the United States and “the Continent,” and to deal a potentially fatal blow to Britain’s special relationships with both.  All this as ill-considered proposals to renegotiate U.S. trans-Atlantic and trans-Pacific alliances, the global trade regime, and US-Russia and US-China relations ring out on the campaign trail in the United States.  —(Ambassador Chas Freeman’s full speech)

Source: 2016 – Explore – Brexit Faculty Commentary | Watson Institute

On the Fate of Migrants in Europe

Will Europe get serious about migration policy, with at least 20k people dying over the past 20 years trying to reach Europe?

The nations where migrants first arrive in the EU have for years wanted to send most of them to countries further inland, arguing that member states should share the burden based on the size of the member state. The concept—known in EU-speak as \”solidarity\”—isn\’t popular in richer European countries. It too wasn\’t mentioned in the draft communiqué.

Instead, EU leaders were set to say that migration will be revisited at a summit dedicated to the issue in June 2014. In the meantime, any action will come from recommendations expected in a December report from the European Commission, the EU\’s executive arm, and the European External Action Service, the EU\’s foreign-policy arm.

\”There\’s no appetite to look at this,\” an official familiar with the talks said. \”It\’s clear no one really wants a common [EU] policy\” on migration.

The official said that even the proposals put forward by Italy were timid and vague, failing to demand anything specific from the rest of the EU—a tacit acknowledgment that it didn\’t want to waste political capital for changes that were unlikely to win broad support.

via Amid U.S. Spying Charges, Plight of Migrants in Europe Eclipsed –

Roger Cohen: Why Greece Is Not Weimar

Are we watching the slow train wreck of Europe–with all the portent for interstate conflict and turmoil?  Or, as Roger Cohen argues–will Greece be ok?

These are familiar insinuations. It is well known where they can lead. The neo-Nazi Golden Dawn party is rising, from a negligible fringe group in 2009 to what is almost certainly the country’s third political force today, representing close to 15 percent of the vote, according to polls. If the most acute phase of Greece’s economic crisis has passed, the most acute phase of its political trial is upon it.

I have little doubt that if Greece were not part of the European Union, with the protection and example afforded by this much maligned democratic club, it would have tumbled into catastrophe by now, much as a humiliated Germany did after 1918. Europe has been Greece’s protector even as the single euro currency has been its tormentor.

via Why Greece Is Not Weimar –

Thatcher Policies Still Resisted by Europe –

Was Thatcher prophetic on the European financial crisis? Was the the First Euroskeptic?

Yet her doubts about a “European superstate” and the common currency ring true today, nearly a quarter of a century after she resigned. She correctly predicted in her memoirs that Germany’s historical fears about inflation would lead to slow-growth policies that would deepen the problems of the euro zone’s weaker, less efficient economies, which could no longer rely on devaluation to solve their problems.Mrs. Thatcher’s prescription for Britain in the 1980s — faith in market forces, willingness to impose short-term austerity in the service of long-term prosperity, and skepticism or even hostility to the fiscal and social costs of the welfare state — prefigured some of the policies Germany and European regulators are still recommending, wrongly in the view of many economists, for the struggling Southern European countries

via Thatcher Policies Still Resisted by Europe –