Are wars really decreasing? Is this a more peaceful era–and do we know it?
Preeminent scholar of international relations Joshua Goldstein tears down one of the greatest myths of modern history. Despite all the hand-wringing, fearmongering, and bad-news headlines, peace is on the rise. Fewer wars are starting, more are ending, and those that remain are smaller and more localized than in past years. Incredibly, no national armies are still fighting one another—all of today’s wars are civil wars. Understanding this worldwide decline in armed conflict is crucially important as America shifts from a decade of war to an era of lower military budgets and operations.
If you interested in the topic, take a look at Matthew White’s compendium of big, horrible things (e.g., war and conflict), as well as Steven Pinker–whose argument that war is decreasing generated quite a lot of buzz among the national security observers and many others here and here and here, for example.