It may be spin or speculation but the path for Sec State Kerry’s offhand remark to full blown diplomatic solution was immediately apparent. Peter Maker and Michael Gordon writing int he NYT explain how in diplomacy, little happens by chance–whereas the notion had been broached between Kerry and Lavorov as early as a year ago.
Is this Obama being weak and indecisive or an opportunistic Russian maneuver or, even possibly a rare case of the textbook “win-win-win?”
Fyodor Lukyanov, the editor of the journal Russia in Global Affairs, says Russia saw an opportunity for a diplomatic triumph because the chemical weapons plan offered something for everyone.
“Americans can say that our pressure on Assad, and our threats, produced a result,” he says. “Russia can say that it prevented a war. Assad can say — or can feel — that he avoided the worst-case scenario. And in general, it looks like a very successful cooperation on the international level.”
Lukyanov says the next challenge will be whether Russia can get a U.N. Security Council resolution that authorizes the plan without allowing for military action if Syria fails to comply.